A stormy Friday afternoon is underway as a strong cold front coming from the west phases with the coastal storms , showers downpours and strong to possibly severe thunderstorms should fill in this afternoon from SW to NE.
If you look at the radar you can see downpours and thunderstorms forming over Southern NJ that may move into the forecast area from SSW TO NNE and also the rainshield over SE PA is going to slowly pivot NE and through Northern NJ in the later afternoon and early evening hours with heavy rain and strong to severe thunderstorms. The main threat with these storms will be very heavy rainfall and gusts up to 50-60 mph.
Most of the forecast area has seen 1-1.5 inches so far and I expect another widespread 1 to maybe 1.5 inches.
One the rain from PA comes through we will rapidly dry out tonight as a cold dry air mass rushes in , leading to quite a windstorm later tonight into Saturday with 20-30 mph winds and gusts to 40 mph.
Temperature tonight will plummet from the 70s to the mid 40s tonight and with a 20-30 mph winds real feel temps will be in the mid 30s at times.
Saturday we warm up to around 60 maybe 65 in the warm urban locations of Newark and NYC with a stiff 20-30 mph wind out of the NW gusts to 40 at times in short tonight and tomorrow will be chilly and blustery
Sundays and Mondays highs will be similar to Saturdays, 60-65 degrees but with less wind. Lows will be in the lower to mid 40s
I am watching another coastal low by next Wednesday which looks to bring a heavy 1.5-2.5 inch rainstorm and widespread heavy rainfall mainly on Wednesday. It could be much worse if a full phase occurs with several inches of rainfall possible , this is a threat I will be keeping an eye on
A large trough wil be over the eastern US starting tonight and will not be going anywhere anytime soon. This means we can expect occasional storms and cold fronts with an overall chiily and active pattern and possibly some serious cold shots and windstorms the next few weeks heading into November