This weekend is nothing short of perfect, with today’s and tomorrows highs in the 50s lows in the upper 30s to around 40 degrees. Sure its a bit chilly and a bit below average but its nice compared to what next week and weekend is going to bring.
Starting a Monday a cold front is going to start dropping SE towards the area with a slight chance of showers, Tuesday the front will stall over or just south of us with a chance of showers remaining. Wednesday waves of showers and disturbances will ride the along the cold front leading to unsettled and wet conditions and Thursday one of these disturbances looks to develop into a nice storm for Thursday – Friday. Temperatures may moderate a bit Monday and Tuesday to 60-65 but it wont feel much different especially with clouds and showers around.
The exact track is very uncertain and that’s a big factor especially in whether we see our first flakes of the season or not.
If it tracks west of us no snow unless you’re in western PA but if the low tracks over or east of us there’s a pretty good chance that as the low is exiting and colder air is rushing in, that we see snow flurries and snow showers with accumulating snows possible in higher elevations of NW NJ and NE PA. Some models are showing a strong coastal storm and a nor’easter like storm with accumulating snows all the way to the beaches, something to watch but I highly doubt something like this would happen. Others are showing the storm tracking into the Great Lakes which would lead to a lot of rain and no snow as we would be on the warm side.
This is what I see happening , a strong low tracking up the coast with a lot of rain and wind and snow showers and flurries on the back edge especially for NW NJ AND NE PA and NW OF I95. This is the type of storm track im looking for in the winter with storms tracking over the area with some tracking west and some tracking east and a winter with a variety of weather, some ice storms some snowstorm some rainstorms and a lot of mixed storms with snow changing to rain or snow turning to ice etc.
With the NAO neutral and the PNA Neutral the storm could track either way
Regardless of whether there’s snow or not, it looks like there is a good chance of at least another hefty rain and wind storm later this upcoming week and by far the coldest air of the season would come in behind this storm no matter where it tracks for next weekend with highs in the upper 40s to low 50s and lows in the lower to mid 30s
Any trick or treaters will probably need Jackets on Monday and Monday night with highs in the mid to upper 40s and lows in the 30s possible.
We are slowly stepping down to our winter pattern, the cold shots are becoming more intense and longer lasting , we are starting to see more powerful and big storms across the Eastern US and even the chance of snow is being introduced already
The type of storm track im looking for is illustrated above in the winter with storms tracking over or near the area with some tracking west and some tracking east and a winter with a variety of weather, some ice storms some snowstorms and some rainstorm as well a lot of mixed nad sloppy/slushy storms with snow changing to rain or snow turning to ice etc.