The main story of the next 5 days will be calm and cold
For today highs will stay where they are now, the lower 40s, with a breeze real feels in the upper 20s and lower 30s
Lows tonight will range from 25-30 degrees ,will help freeze up the very saturated ground
For tomorrow, it will be a bit warmer ahead of a cold front and a more SW wind, highs in the 44-48 degrees , around seasonable levels
That cold front is going to bring in a reinforcing shot of cold air, and boy it is going to be COLD for Saturday
Friday night, lows will be around 30
Saturday, highs will not get out of 30s for most locations, besides the immediate coast of SE NJ with highs ranging 36-40 and a breeze behind the cold front, in short , very winter like
Saturday night, many areas will drop below 20 degrees with lows ranging 18-24 degrees besides urban and coastal areas that will be in the mid to upper 20s
Sunday will be the same as Saturday with highs struggling to reach 40 but plenty of sun highs 37-42
So a cold but quiet weekend is on the way, good weather to get in the holiday spirit
Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday will warm up ever so slightly as high pressure takes full control both days highs 43-47 lows 25-30 and sunny skies
We are watching a potential storm system for the end of next week or early weekend, looks wet at this time but will keep an eye and another shot of polar/arctic air behind it
The QBO which measures the strength of the winds in the stratosphere is going negative as we speak, which means that wind from the tropics are being transported into the northern latitudes so our -NAO and blocking pattern is starting to become established which is what we need for a decent winter storm around here. If the NAO was negative, this last storm would have been a huge snowstorm for everyone, but the NAO was positive, the storm was fast-moving and the cold air couldn’t get in , in time for any kind of significant snow, just a quick period of heavy sleet and snow that did not stick . If the NAO was negative, it would have slowed down the storm , and the cold air would’ve meet up with the storm which would’ve lead to a huge snowstorm.
But this is the pattern change I have been talking about, and should set the stage for interesting winter weather late December through January. It looks like the storm coming next weekend will complete the pattern change to a -NAO and as we get towards Christmas it should get very cold and possibly stormy.