A huge high pressure system is in control of the eastern half of the nation, and will keep our weather calm and chilly through Wednesday
Well today, what you see now is what you get, which is temperatures in the low 40s and a breezy NW wind, temperatures may actually fall a few degrees this afternoon as colder air starts to move in.
Tonight will be COLD , with clear skies and light winds, temperatures will fall 18-24
Sunday will be cold again with highs ranging from 36-40 degrees and lows will be similar 18-25
Monday as high pressure moves east and sits over the area, it will cause a bit more sinking and warming air and more of a West wind rather than NW so it will warm up a bit Monday-Tuesday from below normal to around average with highs ranging 45-48 lows 25-30
Tuesday night, a weak cold front will move through, no precipitation is expected but will reinforce the cold air for Wednesday with highs back to the low 40s lows 24-28
Thursday a “Texas Panhandle ” storm will develop and due to the weak SE ridge, it will be forced to track into the Great Lakes, leaving us on the warm wet side. Thursday the warm front will come through with clouds and showers temperatures is the mid 40s and Friday its associated cold front will come through with clouds and showers. Not expecting much of a rain event here but temperatures will warm up on Friday to the mid 50s in between the warm front and cold front
Behind this storm comes another cold shot and we got to watch for a potentially interesting pattern to set up, where the cold front stalls south, cold air is established and areas of low pressure ride the front from the Plains to off the Mid Atlantic coast for next weekend as a tight temperature gradient sets up but we shall see
You can see the elongated area of precipitation along the stalled cold front (would be snow if this was the exact solution) next Sunday
And 2 days later, a coastal noreaster rides up the coast with a snowstorm and the proper NAO blocking, this is far out, but I believe that this is certainly a plausible solution, being the NAO will be in a state of change from positive to negative and the overall pattern would support this but its a wait and see.
We have an active sub tropical jet stream, a stratospheric warming event and eventually a good set up to get a -NAO, its a matter of time before we get a decent winter storm around here
I would say for those looking for a white Christmas, if the pattern works out like it looks too, there’s a very good chance you may get your wish, but I cant guarantee anything