As you can see we have a developing and intensifying rain shield up and down the east coat, we clearly have another moisture filled rainstorm on our hands.
This morning will be showery and misty before the steady rain to our W and SW fills in and moderate to heavy rain is expected this afternoon into early tonight, with rapidly rising temperatures into the mid 50s as a warm front shoots north of the region. I expect .50-.75 today with locally higher amounts of 1 inch possible
Tomorrow. high pressure will briefly take control, but a cold front will stall along the coast leading to trouble not far behind. Highs again will be very mild around 55 degrees!
Tomorrow night, a wave of low pressure will ride along the coast or just inland, which will lead to another big dump of rain, besides the Poconos where they will see some minor accumulating snows, heaviest precip will be along the coast, but it will be too warm. Some snow may mix in at times tomorrow night for everyone besides the immediate coast, no accumulations are expected until NW NJ and NE PA.
It will quickly change to all rain Friday and heavy at that, with another .50-1.oo possible
Saturday night into Sunday a weak low pressure will ride the coast, it is possible it goes out to sea but this is our best threat of snow. I expect this if it happens to start off as rain and gradually change to some snow, maybe a coating -2 inches again if the low pressure is able to ride the coast and not go Out to sea
Joe Bastardis thinking below
Joe Bastardi is still on board with the storm riding the coast and snow Sunday, all the models have lost the storm OTS for now
The storm after Christmas I was talking about completely disappeared off all the models so not sure whats going on there, as of now its a no go
I am starting to become quite concerned that this winter will…. well SUCK for snow lovers, at least through mid January anyway.
The pattern will go zonal after this bout of storminess which will lead to ups and downs in temperature and very weak fast-moving storms. The effects of the stratospheric warming look to be delayed through at least mid January with plenty of warmth possible through then. This pattern sucks for snow and will remain so until further notice. The NAO will fall and the AO will fall as a result of the stratospheric warming but again the effects may not be felt for another few weeks.