This morning I start off with the radar as yet another storm is developing for the East Coast. You can see the rain developing and an elongated area of low pressure. Thats when an area of low pressure develops along a cold front so rain or precipitation from the low is able to spread north bound. These type are typically your biggest rainstorms as they last a long time. Areas in Texas got 2-4 inches of rain overall with some spots expected to go 5+ inches. We wont get that much here as its less unstable up here so the thunderstorms will weaken moving north bound.
For today though, sunny to partly cloudy skies are expected with highs 38-44, much colder than yesterday as winds have turned more north due to an area of low pressure that is now NE of the area, cskies will gradually cloud up tonight ahead of this storm with lows 25-32, can rule out some flurries or freezing drizzle as moisture rides up the coast
By Thursday morning it will be overcast and with a SSE wind warmer air will be transported in changing any wintry precip to rain quickly as the low tracks west of us and up the Appalachians. showers will become widespread in the afternoon highs 38-45
Thursday night the rain will become steady and heavy with near steady temperatures and the steady rain will last through Friday morning and perhaps early afternoon
Here are the expected rainfall totals from HPC
General range of 1-1.5 inches with 1 inch over southern areas and 1.5 inches over Northern areas, the most significant precipitation is expected from Texas to SW PA as these areas will be on the NW side of the storm where the heaviest precipitation typically is where 2 to as much as 5 inches are possible, especially south where thunderstorms will enhance rain totals
The usual concerns which we have all become used to and accustomed to here in NJ, minor to moderate flooding with an already soaked ground from all the rain and snow latley, we have heard this before plenty of times
Another area of low pressure will be on the backside of this one, and if it comes up the coast it will only enhance rainfall but as of now its expected to slip out to sea as the pattern does not support a coastal storm at this time