The next several days to maybe even a week will be very quiet, warm and even spring like at times as high pressure becomes dominant across the eastern US
For today, sunny with highs around 50, well above normal, a cold front will come through early evening to make it a normal January night with lows 20-28
Sunday will be partly cloudy with highs around 45, again well above normal average high should be 35-40. A weak clipper / cold front will come through tomorrow night with some rain/snow showers possible and a reinforcing “cold shot” with lows 18-25
Monday will be the big cold shot, the coldest day with highs 32-40 and lows 19-27 degrees
Tuesday we will start to warm right back up as high pressure shifts off the east coast, leading to a SSW wind and highs 40-46 degrees lows 30-37 degrees
Wednesday will be warm and sunny with highs 50-57 maybe 60 in a few locations lows 30-37 both well above the normal
Thursday will be mild but not as mild with highs 45-52 lows 25-30 as a weak cold front comes through
Friday we start watching a potential major storm system with increasing clouds highs 38-45
I do think there will be a storm given a + PNA and western ridge but obviously the exact track can’t be determined this far out, whether it tracks east or west, it will probably be rain for most of us, I don’t like the set up for snow At this time, perhaps the Poconos on west have a chance of some snow but that will come down to the exact track, some models have it coming up the coast and some have it going well inland, I think the inland track is more likely with lack of blocking in the Atlantic but if everything goes right and this turns coastal it could be a winter storm for the interior at least. I will be watching this storm closely, especially since it’s the only thing to watch the next 7 days.
Until then enjoy the warm and quiet weather, it looks like it will be an active February, whether it’s just more rain or maybe snow has to be determined but if the western ridge develops like models there will be plenty of storms to watch
NORTHEASTERNNJWX AUTHORITY