Today we have another disturbance moving into the area, so continued cloudy and cool weather is expected for this April 1st. Highs today will range from the low 50s NW to mid to upper 50s along the coast, basically average to slightly below after being well below normal yesterday with temperatures stuck in the upper 30s to low 40s which is 10-15 degrees below normal which ruined chances of breaking the warmest March on record for many around the area.
Still, March of 2012 is the SECOND WARMEST ON RECORD which is very impressive and multiple mid-west cities such as Chicago and all the way to Minneapolis who actually got warmer due to the pattern shift broke the warmest March on record with no problem as 70s , 80s and even 90s continued
Anyway, the clipper system over the Great Lakes will move SE due to a trough over the NE US with a developing and growing rain shield, it’s not going to be impressive like the other night where we had thunderstorms heavy rain sleet and hail. this will just be steady rain for a while, only about quarter of an inch is expected up to half-inch over Southern NJ locally, rain should start late this afternoon and last until late night/early morning, by the time you wake up skies will be clearing.
Monday will feature clearing skies and seasonable conditions with highs ranging from the upper 40s to low 50s over NE PA and NW NJ and mid to upper 50s elsewhere lows will get rather cold though as high pressure will be building in from the north with lows in the mid to upper 20s over NE PA and NW NJ and low to mid 30s for everyone else
Tuesday and Wednesday we will warm up to slightly above normal levels as the ridge over the center of the country trys to build east, it wont be too successful thanks to a negative NAO block but being the block is still relatively weak some warmer air will be able to come east briefly. Highs Tuesday will range from MID 50S NW NJ and NE PA to upper 50s and low 60s elsewhere and Wednesday will be the warmest with upper 50s to low 60s over the interior and low to mid 60s elsewhere with lows both nights ranging from the mid to upper 30s over the interior and lower to mid 40s along the coast
A cold front will come through Wednesday night, a trough will drop south and drop us back to seasonable weather for the rest of the week with highs Thursday through Saturday raging from the low 50s over NW NJ and NE PA to mid 50s elsewhere, some upper 50s over SW NJ and some urban areas, basically right around where we should be, dry conditions over all are expected.
Going into Easter weekend some uncertainty shows up , the European model has an upper low that develops over the NE leading to chilly cloudy and maybe showery weather while the GFS brings another brief warm up with temperatures seasonable to slightly above and nice weather conditions