The first step of a big warm up has started today as our NAO block is gone, and the MJO is circling into the circle of death. An area of high pressure is developing to our west and moving Southeast. That high pressure will shift off the coast tonight and tomorrow and lead to some summer like conditions by Sunday.
Here is tomorrow and notice high pressure is now settled off the SE coast, a SW wind is becoming established and highs will be in the upper 60s over NE PA to low to mid 70s along I95 then upper 60s to low 70s along the coast with a bit of ocean influence as winds turn more southerly, lows tomorrow night in the low 50s interior to upper 50s along the coast.
There is a bit of trouble brewing to our west for late tomorrow night into Sunday morning, thats a warm front that will come through and lead to widespread showers and some thunderstorms tomorrow night, nothing too strong and definitley not enough to bring any drought relief but a widespread .10-.25 is likley, with some lolipop .50 amounts possible in thunderstorms. The low pressure area responsible will move well west of us into the the Western Great Lakes due to the developing SE ridge. So with the storm moving NE and winds blowing from SW to NE along the cold front that will unfortunatley lead to a bad severe weather outbreak for the Plains will be very slow moving and wont hit here until Wednesday
Sunday afternoon the warm front will come through, all showers and storms will end and we will clear out in the afternoon with sunshine and rapidly rising temperatures with highs in the mid 70s along the coast and upper 70s to low 80s for the rest of us along with increasing humidity and lows only dropping to the mid to upper 50s over the interior and low 60s along the coast
Monday as we are behind the warm front and well in front of the cold front , the SE ridge gets stronger, temperatures sky rocket with a SW flow, highs will be in the 80s for just about everyone, besides Long Island and the immediate coast where highs will be stuck in the mid to upper 70s with a still cold ocean influence, other than that low 80s over NE PA , mid to upper 80s along I95 and even maybe some low 90s over SW NJ !!!! Now when I say low 90s I mean very isolated 90-91 is possible most will be stuck in the 80s but still VERY WARM SUMMER LIKE Weather!! Lows will only fall into the mid 50s to low 60s
Tuesday the associated cold front will come east and lead to high pressure sliding further off the coast, falling heights, increasing clouds and cooler temperatures, although still very mild for this time of year with mid to upper 60s interior low to mid 70s along I95 and upper 60s to low 70s along the coast
The cold front looks to come through at night and into Wednesday with some scattered showers and thunderstorms
Wednesday after the cold front we will fall back to more normalcy with highs in the mid to upper 50s in NE PA to mid 60s along the coast and lows in the upper 30s over NE PA to mid 40s along the coast
Wednesday night into Thursday a wave may try to ride the cold front leading to some showers possible but right now it appears to be too far east to really impact us with a lot of rainfall.
Here is Thursday, you can see the weak disturbance along the coast and highs in the mid to upper 50s over NE PA to mid 6os along the coast with some showers possible and lows in the upper 30s in NE PA to mid to upper 40s along the coast along the coast and slightly above seasonable temperatures
Then going into next Friday and next weekend we watch a potential cold front and storm system with a potential warm up on Friday and Saturday back into the 60s and 70s then a potential crash going into Sunday
Warm up ahead of the cold front although some showers and storms out and about
Cold front comes through and leads to trough and normalcy returning to the east, so enjoy the heat if you like heat , and if you dont like heat well you wont have to wait long for temperatures to come back to normal levels.