Below is the HPC or Hydrometeorlogical Prediction Center, showing a major rainstorm with potential for flooding Sunday through Tuesday
HPC expects a general 2-4 inches for the forecast area out of this storm
As usual with major storms we have all kinds of model madness and confusion, with the Canadian and UKMET showing an inland track, Euro and JMA showing a benchmark track and GFS showing a OTS track, currently HPC is going with a alight inland track
Its going to come down to the phase, which we wont be able to pin point until at least tomorrow night if not Friday or Saturday.
An earlier phase leads to an inland track and a very powerful low pressure with heavy rain, wind and even severe weather as shown on the CMC and UKMET models
A middle phase leads to a Euro solution of an all out nor’easter, with heavy rain wind and even snow, yes snow at the high elevations of the NE
And finally, the GFS has a late phase or none at all so it slides east OTS with only a moisturized cold front and .50-2 inches
Right now based on the amplified pattern developing im leaning towards the Euro with a nor’easter or the inland storm track as we have blocking over the North Atlantic that should slow things down enough to create a phase, another update on this developing storm system tomorrow