I’m sure the thing that sticks out much is Tropical storm Isaac wich will head towards the Gulf coast over the next 24-48 hours, with deteriorating conditions from the western Panhandle of Florida, ill update on that later.
What im looking at right now is a band of heavy rain and thunderstorms over NJ, pesky disturbance is slowly moving through, this disturbance is interacting with tropical moisture, which the Bermuda high off the coast is bringing in, leading to very heavy rainfall , rates are exceeding 2 to as much as 4 inches per hour in spots!
This band of rain will SLOWLY move ENE this morning and afternoon, the disturbance is hitting the Atlantic ridge and is being forced to move slowly, which will lead to slow-moving and training thunderstorms for many through the mid afternoon hours. This will bring a lot of rain and much-needed rain but in some cases it could be too much falling to quickly which could lead to flash flooding
We are going to see more disturbances like this through the day, leading to bands of scattered showers and storms developing and moving slowly through the area. some storms could be strong but no severe weather is expected, the biggest threat will be heavy rain.
Then you see a cold front to the west, that will bring the threat for more showers and thunderstorms late tomorrow afternoon and night, especially over Northern areas as the best dynamics with this cold front move N of the area
Wednesday and Thursday will be rather nice and comfortable with highs in the mid 70s over NE PA to low to mid 80s elsewhere, with low humidity, lows in the low 50s over NE PA to upper 50s and low 60s elsewhere
Friday , Isacc will begin to influence our weather, not with rain and wind but with HEAT . Isaac is going to pump up a strong area of high pressure off the SE US coast, which will lead to rising heights, and warming temperatures, with a small shot of heat and humidity as this area of high pressure brings a SW flow.
We can see the high pressure system, which is leading to dry air and heat over the area, highs in the mid 80s NE PA to upper 80s to low 90s elsewhere are expected Friday, Saturday and Sunday, with Friday and Saturday being the hottest, where widespread 90-94 is possible along with some humidity.
By early next week I expect the ridge to break down and we return to a more seasonable regime like we have been in with a zonal to slightly trough patter over the east