After about 1 week without power due to Hurricane Sandy we are finally back up and running!
Unfortunately I come back with bad news. All the areas that got impacted and literally destroyed by Sandy are about to get hit by a nor’easter Wednesday into Thursday. It wont be nearly as bad as Sandy but enough to put clean up and recovery efforts to a halt and even be a but of a set back, and making more damage and more of a headache for the region
We have the polar jet stream dug deeply into the eastern US , the sub tropical jet stream running across Mexico through Florida with a disturbance entering the picture riding it from WSW to ENE and a strong disturbance diving SE along the polar jet stream, this spells trouble for the east coast.
These 2 disturbances are expected to phase along the Southeast Coast , create a powerful area of low pressure that will move NNE up the east coast, most likely towards the bench mark (40 N /70W). Basically your typical fall/winter time nor’easter
Wednesday afternoon this low will be developing off the SE coast moving NE towards the area, precipitation will begin to move in during the morning hours and last through Thursday early afternoon
Red- These areas can expect moderate coastal flooding, usually wouldn’t be to big a deal, but after Sandy destroyed the beaches and sand dunes which would protect these areas, moderate coastal flooding will cause big problems, heavy rain and winds 25-35 mph gusts up to 60 at times, more power outages possible
Green- These areas can expect heavy rain and wind, in the order of 1-2 inches and winds 20-30 mph gusts to 45-50 mph, don’t be surprised to see some snow mixed in at times especially towards the start and end of the storm but rain and wind will be the big issue, more power outages possible
Pink- These areas can expect a sloppy mix of rain and snow with some very minor accumulations possible on grass and cold surfaces , a general trace to 1 inch of snow and moderate rainfall wind 15-20 gusts up to 40-45
Light blue- Rain/now mix changing to snow, minor accumulations of 1-3 inches are expected especially on grassy and cold surfaces winds 15-20 mph gusts to 35-40
Dark blue- Mainly snow expected , breezy conditions accumulations of 3-5 inches
The snow aspect to this will not be impressive as the best dynamics and lifting are expected to be along the coast where sea surface temperatures are too warm to allow snowfall and the polar air mass will only be marginal, considering its November this is what makes the most sense despite what the models say. If this was 3-4 weeks later this would be a big snow event for all but the reality is, its early November still and you wont get snow every late October/November like we saw last year. But none the less I will keep an eye out for a growing snow threat but either way this will highly impact areas that are trying to recover from Hurricane Sandy .