The active weather pattern will continue to go on , and what was an overall warm winter with overall below average snowfall has taken a big turn to the cold and active one so many people expected, it all started with a brutal long-lasting arctic outbreak in mid January which was followed by a train of clipper systems late January through early February and then of course followed by the Blizzard of 2013 which pushed many people from Northern NJ to Boston to or above average snowfall for the winter as a whole, with more on the way Wednesday night
For tonight we will have evening fog and drizzle that will dissipate overnight and give way to clearing skies with lows dropping into the mid 20s NE PA to upper 30s along the coast as a cold front comes through
For Tuesday sunny skies can be expected with temperatures near normal, with highs in the low 30s NE PA to around 40 along the coast and low tomorrow night will be in the low 20s NE PA to lower 30s along coastal regions .
Meanwhile another storm system will be in the making as a sub tropical jet stream disturbance comes north and east, possible interacting with the polar jey stream, forming a coastal low and dumping more snow on the area
We will have to watch the potential interaction between the disturbance over the Rockies and the moisture over the Southeast US
Most of Wednesday is expected to be dry with increasing clouds and seasonable temperatures in the low 30s to low 40s
As usual there is high uncertainty being 2 days away but there is a potential for a moderate to even heavy snow fall Wednesday night into Thursday AM , with the focus being Eastern PA through I95 between Philadelphia and New York City out to Long Island. with the true focus for the heaviest totals being I95 points east as of now but there are still plenty of details to iron out here,such as track of this storm system
The american models have been consistently showing this for days while models like the European model have been consistently well south of us, until this afternoon hen it took a big jump to the north and a big jump towards the american models. There is decent model agreement but the pattern is far from perfect here and somewhat progressive with lack of blocking over the north Atlantic and what not, so I can still make an argument for the storm sliding south of us, but it will come down to the timing and interaction of these disturbances. I will be able to iron out more details tomorrow afternoon like if this stom will actally hit , but as of now the threat for accumulating snow is on the rise!
And if that was not enough , the pattern going into the weekend will offer HUGE potential for a coastal storm and perhaps another nor’easter and big snow storm so I will be kept on my toes well into the forseeable future as winter is delayed but certainly not denied.