We now have our strong coastal low due east of NJ throwing back moisture into the NYC/Philadelphia metros , most of New Jersey and the Delmarva area, we can see on radar the cutoff has developed just about or just north of New York City due to a strong upper level low to the northeast of Maine, and a farily progressive jet stream taking the storm more due east than northeast , the focus of precipitation is clearly over central/southern NJ and extreme southeast PA with this being said most of the area is seeing wintry precipitation and gusty winds still
This morning we saw some accumulating snow over the expected areas of SE PA, southern NJ, parts of Central NJ, but now with ALL areas above 32 degrees there has been no accumulation to speak of , with most accumulation ranging from a trace to 3 inches, some isolated and unofficial reports of 4 inches over southeast PA
Here is the forecast I put out
NE PA through Connecticut – Flurries/snow showers with little accumulation
NW NJ/New York City/NE NJ/LI- Periods of Light Snow/mix – Coating-2 inches on grassy surfaces , wet roads
Southeast NJ (Belmar -Cape May) Periods of moderate to heavy rain/snow mix – C-2 inches snow accumulation, up to 1 inch of liquid
Allentown PA/Lehigh Valley – 1-3 inches wet snow, wet roads
Philadelphia/western suburbs to Central NJ – Periods of moderate to heavy snow/mix – 2-4 inches on grassy surfaces wet/slushy roads outside of city
Lancaster PA- Periods of moderate to heavy snow 3-5 inches
Overall so far the forecast looks to be working out pretty good, I likely over did the New York City metro through NW NJ zone as very little accumulation was found so far over these area, just some coatings in NW NJ with nothing but wet snow with wet roads south and east of there, and I also over did the city of Philadelphia most likely , other than that with the remaining areas getting C-3 inches with some isolated areas of 4 inches over SE PA , the forecast is going good as additional accumulations are not likely, perhaps the NJ coast can get a little more accumulation if the bands stick around after sunset but that’s about it. With this all being said there’s still moderate to heavy precipitation throughout the area so we will see the official amounts later tonight and see if this forecast truly works out or not.
So this storm has clearly shown us the power of the early spring and March , it’s very hard to get significant accumulation this late in the season with this kind of timing of snow during the day, we can see that the areas that got accumulations were where the snow started before sunrise this morning.
As the low heads east we will see precipitation slowly exit over the next several hours from west to east, with a rain x over the New York and Philly metros, and mainly snow alNew Jersey coast , where precip is heavy enough to keep it snow, ending by 10 pm for everyone but lingering around the coast longest. Theres also the threat for minor coastal flooding with the evening high tide cycle but really this storm overall will end up not being too big a deal for our area, just enough to create a wintry scene during the early spring for snow lovers and wreak some havoc on today’s morning and evening commutes.