The wacky winter continues with the roller coaster ride of temperatures and after a brutal shot of cold and some snow and ice last week we are now in a mild stretch of weather with temperatures well above average , we will slowly step back down into a wintry pattern as the week wares on with gradually falling temperatures and some snow chances by the end of the week.
The weather pattern for pretty much now the first half of winter has featured a dominant east Pacific ridge which extends into the western US a dominant trough in the middle of the country and transient troughs and ridges in the east with a semi dominant ridge that extends from the Southeast US to the Central Atlantic which occasionally expands north and west , the battle of a dominant trough to the north and west and ridge to the south and east has lead to basically near normal temperatures this winter maybe a touch slightly above for the forecast area the battle has also led to stormy conditions at times with snowfall so far above average although it certainly doesn’t show when you look out the window , and generally near to slightly above average overall precipitation. Top graphic thanks to Larry Cosgrove.
For tonight we have a front working towards the area which is bringing increasing clouds and warm conditions these cloudy skies will give way to showers and some steady light rain Tuesday with continued warmth lows tonight in the upper 30s interior to mid 40s along the coast and highs tomorrow from the low 40s far interior mid 40s to around 50 elsewhere. Rainfall will be generally light with a tenth to quarter inch for most eastern areas could touch the half inch mark or so , just a nuisance
Slightly colder yet still above average temperatures for Wednesday with highs in the 40s generally area wide with some upper 30s far north west interior
A weak coastal system is possible Thursday and with colder air coming in scattered rain and snow showers are possible into Friday but will likely lead to little or no accumulation at this time , another similar system could impact Saturday into Sunday as the sub tropical jet gets cranking but if it occurs it will likely be a weak system with maybe some minor accumulations , highs on Thursday will be in the lower 30s interior to upper 30s along the coast by Saturday and Sunday highs will range from mid 20 s interior to lower 30s at the coast and lows generally in the upper 10s to mid 20s
It appears now that this will be the start of a prolonged period of cold and stormy weather from late January through early February which is something we haven’t seen much of this winter with so many ups and downs