Tonight we are beginning to see a brief respite from the Arctic Express, yesterday we had a nice little snow event for most with generally 1-3 inches as a strong clipper passed to the north , tonight another clipper is driving towards the northeast from the Great Lakes but with a track north of us winds are shifting to the southwest and along with increasing clouds temperatures will rise through the night through the 20s and in some cases along the coast into the 30s
Tomorrow highs will rise into the upper 20s to low 30s NE PA to mid to upper 30s elsewhere with even a 40 degree reading possible along the southern NJ coast , most highs will be met by 12-2pm before a cold front comes through in the early to mid afternoon hours with scattered rain/snow showers and temperatures will quickly fall again
Lows Monday night will fall quickly into the 0s to low 10s with strong northwest winds and Tuesday will be brutally cold with highs in the 10s for most.
By Wednesday we have to watch for a coastal low, as of now it’s expected to mostly miss but the latest model trends suggest a northwest trend which could at least put our southern areas in play for some snow , and considering the models performance this year and the overall pattern I’m not ready to discount any threat yet
The latest GFS model took a decent jump northwest clipping southern NJ , if we can get the trough to turn a bit more negative like some ensembles show we could see a snow event Wednesday , nothing is a guarantee yet as if the trough stays positive tilted it would track even farther south and east as of now it’s more likely anything significant should remain south but considering how this winter is going we want to advertise the threat.
After this starting around Friday or so we will enter a pattern that features warmer air trying to come in as a bit of a trough develops in the central and western US but the Polar vortex prevents too much of a southeast ridge from developing this leads to a tight temperature gradient with waves of snow ice and rain possible from Friday through Superbowl Sunday, we will track this through the week but potential is there for some significant wintry precipitation for Superbowl Weekend , Sundays weather will come down to which side of the gradient we are on, warm side would mean rain possible while the cold side would be snow and ice possible, a initial round of wintry weather is expected either Friday or Saturday as of now , the question is just how long we stay on the cold side of the temperature gradient or do we even get into the warm side of the gradient, this will make a huge difference for game day!