A moderate to major winter storm is on the way for much of the forecast area
Today we have a arctic front approaching the area, it will cross through tonight with mostly just cloudy skies but a few isolated showers possible especially north and west, the boundary will stall and a developing area of low pressure over the Plains will ride the stalled front northeast to the Virginia coast, this disturbance has a lot of moisture with it but there are some limiting factors to snowfall accumulations
For one most of the area is in the 50s today and with marginal temperatures to start the storm many areas will start off as rain or mix , also the ground will be warm and wet limiting accumulations for the first part of the storm
Light precipitation will fill in between 12am southwest to 4 am northeast , and become moderate to heavy at times mostly south of I80 by the morning commute, any mix for most of the area will change to snow as heavier precipitation knocks temperatures below freezing, the exception for this will be southeastern NJ , where mostly rain is expected but a shot of snow is possible at the end, the precip will exit between 3-7 pm from southwest to northeast
Here is the final call , I want to address that I expect mostly the low end of these totals but if the storm ends up being more dynamic than expected and can overcome warm surface temperatures quicker the higher amounts will very well work out there could be even locally higher amounts if it reaches full potential but for now I feel the we will have trouble accumulating at first.