After a pretty quiet and tranquil 7-9 days of weather , we are about to make a major turn to a very wet and stormy weather pattern as one storm will hit tonight trough tomorrow night then a much bigger system for much of the week next week with a brief break in between the 2 storms on Sunday and Monday
An area of low pressure currently over the Tennessee River Valley will continue to head to the east-northeast towards the NJ coastal waters, this low will slow down moving east and intensify a bit off the NJ coast line, so through the day today generally tranquil weather is expected due to the system slowing down and the whole pattern beginning to get blocked up, there will be increasing clouds but mostly dry conditions through the daylight hours with high temperatures in the mid 50s to low 60s
Rain will begin to fill in between 6-9 pm from southwest to northeast and a steady rain, at times heavy can be expected through much of the night (low temperatures mostly in the 40s area wide) , there will be a break in the activity Saturday morning into the early afternoon but as the system stalls off the New England coast another round of showers and even some isolated thunderstorms is expected from mid afternoon to Saturday evening, this is expected to be pretty scattered so not all areas will see rain but areas that do have potential to see some pretty hefty downpours.
Rainfall amounts are generally expected to be 0.50-1.00 with locally higher amounts in thunderstorms. High temperatures on Saturday will likely be the warmest of the period with upper 50s to mid 60s expected , or basically right around average levels with lows mostly in the 40s area wide, upper 30s NE PA to the mid to upper 40s along the coast
The storm will clear out by early Sunday morning with nice weather and relatively seasonable temperatures or just slightly below normal Sunday and Monday with highs both days in the mid 50s to low 60s area wide lows will be a bit chilly with mid 30s to low 40s expected
Tuesday will feature increasing clouds with showers slowly spreading from southwest to northeast associated with the next system , with easterly winds and developing rain highs will be quite chilly both Tuesday and Wednesday with highs in the mid 40s to low 50s , most of the rain will likely hold off until Tuesday night but the chance for showers is there for Tuesday during the day
The storm is expected to develop over the Plains and very slowly move towards the Great Lakes, it will cut off from the main flow in response to a omega block developing so this storm will linger over the east for quite some time, a track towards the Great Lakes will introduce the chance for some warmer temperatures Thursday and Friday but Tuesday through Friday will bring waves of rain, showers and thunderstorms with overall overcast skies
Above are frames from Tuesday night through Friday and we can see the waves of rainfall that are expected, not the whole period will feature steady rain but it will no doubt be a wet gloomy and cool week , rainfall amounts from this system are expected to range from 2-4 inches area wide. Again Tuesday and Wednesday will be very chilly with highs in the mid 40s to low 50s , Thursday mostly in the 50s area wide and Friday there could be some 60s if the warm front is able to pass north, if not mostly 50s can be expected and lows all week will range from the upper 30s to mid 40s.