This post will be consisted of live coverage and live updates as the storm rolls on with the time labeled
11:10 PM – Moderate to locally heavy snow is quickly filling into the area
National weather service has upped their amounts AND included Connecticut in the blizzard warning as the north shift of the storm continues
11:15 PM- Funny thing is if short range model guidance is right there is overwhelming agreement that even these numbers are too low!
The NAM model amongst the RAP, 2 short range models show widespread 2-3 feet , Short range models that extend out 12-14 hours show as much as 8-14 inches only through mid and late morning hours
Radar is already impressive and snow has started well before expected as the system is more expansive than expected thus another reason to raise the totals
Below is my going forecast
Here are the current projected snow totals only going through around 2 pm tomorrow, already widespread 12-18 inches with several more hours of moderate to heavy snow to go
The NWS has put out convective outlooks for snow rates of 1-2+ inches per hour through the overnight
Before I head off for the night a quick overview shows the north trend is really still going on as the nor ester is bombing out farther west than models showed, the bulk of the storm may very well target Philly through NYC LI now rather than farther south
Mesoscale banding will start to move in over the next few hours and isolated amounts of 3 feet will likely be found by the end of this historic storm , thunderstorms in the snow will also be likely through the day tomorrow
Winds will rapidly increase out of the NE overnight to sustained 25-35 gusts up to 55-60 through the day tomorrow leading to power outage potential
We can see a huge firehose of Atlantic moisture being pushed up into the cold air in response to the rapidly developing NE snow will become very heavy overnight and early AM bulk should last through mid to late afternoon but snow may linger through early Sunday AM
Enjoy the storm and ill be back on early in the AM, tomorrow is going to be a long day!